Higher education
Project 07 · Education analytics

Student retention

Dropout, cohorts, early warning with a predictive model, and tracking of the interventions that help more students finish their degree.

Client: Universidad del Ceibo · fictitious, simulated data
Students supported
8.753
First-year retention
71,9%
At high risk today
727
Student retention

The challenge

Universidad del Ceibo learned about dropout after it happened. It needed to see each cohort’s trajectory, spot in time who to support, and know whether its retention programs actually reduce dropout.

Python (modelo predictivo) · Power Query · DAX · Power BI

Key findings

  • Dropout per term fell from 23.7% (2021-1) to 7.1% (2026-1); the first year concentrates 71% of dropouts.
  • 727 students are at high risk, 245 still without intervention; the most common factor is a low GPA (< 3.0).
  • Among high-risk students, 19.0% of those supported drop out vs. 27.2% without support (8.2 pp less).

Capabilities shown

  • Predictive model (logistic regression, AUC 0.75)
  • Actionable early warning with suggested intervention
  • Cohort survival and first-year retention
  • Intervention evaluation

Dashboard tour

6 views. Click any view to enlarge it.

Live interactive dashboard

Use the filters and the navigation menu inside the dashboard, just as a manager would.

Higher education

More prototypes from this service

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